Ministers are planning new legislation that would override a key part of last year’s EU withdrawal agreement.
The move could change the nature of new Northern Ireland customs arrangements which were intended to prevent the return of checks at the border with the Irish Republic.
What If The Trade Talks Fail?
Downing Street said it was a standby plan in case trade talks fail.
EU chief negotiator Michel Barnier accused the UK of wanting the “best of both worlds” on trade.
Although the UK formally left the EU in January, it has continued to follow rules set in Brussels during a transition period – which ends in December – while discussions over a long-term trade agreement continue.
Another round of talks – the eighth – begins on Tuesday, aimed at securing a deal to allow companies in the EU and UK to trade without taxes or customs checks.
But on the eve of negotiations resuming, the Financial Times reported that the Internal Market Bill would “eliminate” the legal force of the Withdrawal Agreement, struck less than a year ago, in areas including state aid for business and Northern Ireland customs.
15 October Is The Day
As part of the terms of the Northern Ireland Protocol, the region is expected to continue to follow some EU rules after the transition period ends on 31 December 2020 to ensure there is no hard border.
But Mr Johnson is expected to say later that if no agreement is reached by 15 October, both sides should “move on”.
The prime minister will tell EU counterparts that completing the UK’s exit from the bloc without a trade deal would still be a “good outcome”.
Chris Mason described the proposed bill as an “electrifying development in the Brexit process” that would “attempt to free the UK of an obligation… to check goods crossing from Great Britain to Northern Ireland”.
That obligation aimed to prevent the return of infrastructure, such as border posts, along the UK’s border with the Irish Republic, which many fear could prove detrimental to peace.
Labour’s Jonathan Ashworth told Radio 4’s Today programme: “Boris Johnson told us he had an oven-ready deal. And he fought a general election telling us he had an oven-ready deal. [This] now suggests that he was misleading people in that general election.
“And Parliament supported the Withdrawal Agreement earlier on this year. He has made promises and signed a treaty around these arrangements for Northern Ireland, and he now seems to be backing out of that.”
Northern Ireland Deputy First Minister Michelle O’Neill tweeted that any threat of backtracking on the protocol would be a “treacherous betrayal which would inflict irreversible harm on the all-Ireland economy and the Good Friday Agreement”.
Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said the move would “significantly increase” the likelihood of a no-deal Brexit, and the “resulting damage to the economy will be entirely Tory inflicted. What charlatans”.
A Frosty Atmosphere For Talks?
Michel Barnier, the EU’s lead negotiator, has often insisted that both sides respecting and implementing their divorce deal was a key trust issue, fundamental to the success of the trade negotiations.
If UK domestic legislation seriously undermines the withdrawal agreement, you can expect a strong reaction from European capitals. Ireland’s Foreign Minister Simon Coveney already tweeted it would be a very unwise way for the UK to proceed.
An EU diplomat called it a “self-defeating strategy”, saying the planned legislation could lead to the unravelling of trade talks.
Much will depend on the detail of the bill, which has yet to be disclosed.
But this, in addition to the prime minister’s statement that failure to agree an EU trade deal would also be a good option for the UK, will serve to further sour the atmosphere during the eighth round of negotiations.
Government sources told the BBC the legislation was “not intended to derail the talks”, and a spokeswoman said the UK would continue to approach talks with the EU in good faith.
A Deal That Resembles Canada’s
“As a responsible government, we are considering fallback options in the event this is not achieved, to ensure the communities of Northern Ireland are protected,” she said.
The prime minister is expected to tell EU leaders there is time to strike a trade deal but that it must be agreed in time for the European Council of 15 October if it is to be in force by the time the transition period ends.
“If we can’t agree by then, then I do not see that there will be a free trade agreement between us, and we should both accept that and move on,” Mr Johnson will say.
The UK has said it wants a deal with the EU which resembles Canada’s.
But Mr Johnson will say no deal means having a “trading arrangement with the EU like Australia’s”, using trade protocols set by the World Trade Organisation. In practice, this would mean taxes on exports and customs checks.
“That would be a good outcome for the UK,” the prime minister will say.
Mr Johnson is due to say that “we are preparing, at our borders and at our ports, to be ready for it”, although groups representing road hauliers have warned the UK is “sleepwalking into disaster”.
The prime minister is expected to say the UK “will always be ready to talk to our EU friends” even if no agreement is struck, finding “sensible accommodations on practical issues” including flights, lorry transport and scientific co-operation.
Mr Barnier, who has previously suggested the end of October is a “strict deadline” to finalise an agreement for next year, told French radio the Northern Ireland Protocol was critical to the integrity of the European single market and essential for maintaining peace.